Saturday, January 12, 2013

Mali a New Trial for the EU

The Presidency of France is arguably the most powerful elected constitutional post in the Western world. This was strikingly illustrated by President Hollande's brief TV address to the nation yesterday afternoon, when he announced his country's forces were in action in Mali and that his Parliament could discuss it if they wished after the weekend, namely three days ahead on Monday.

Well that once was the case, but what now with the EU and the complications of the ESM Treaty now in force for about three and a half months, summary here, while a more detailed explanation here. The Mali engagement by French forces will inevitably impact the French deficit, debt, credit ratings and thereby its ability to meet its ESM Treaty obligations!

A fascinating dispute between France and Finland has only just arisen which illustrates the coming problems very well, read one report here. Essentially Finland has lost a contract to build a large Caribbean cruise liner in Turku to French competition in St Nazaire, apparently due to Finlan's reluctance to match the level of Government subsidy offered by France. How much more difficult has this dispute become as France's African venture brings ever closer the moment when France, instead of being the second largest contributor to the ESM, instead is forced to call upon it for funds and thus partly reliant on Finland's AAA credit rating for lower interest rates. 

Ironic, is it not that, such lower interest costs and higher credit rating are owed to the sanity of the Finnish Government, the sacrifices of its people given from living within their means and consequent reluctance to dish out grotesque subsidies of wasted taxpayers money for otherwise non-competitive industries?

This blog has repeatedly quoted the nonsense of the contribution percentages written into the ESM Treaty as begging belief, with both Spain and Italy being due to contribute large portions of the funds they seem to be among the most likely to need. Let me try another analogy on the ESM, think of it as a Christmas Club, where with all in full employment they all agree to cough up X% of their wages for a celebratory bash every year. How many need to become unemployed and broke before such a club folds? The ESM, of course, was only formed when several of its founders were already in a state of relying on the formation of such a Club for themselves to avoid bankruptcy!

Let us return to Mali, however, for even more absurdities of the EU will soon appear as a result of France's colonial legacy, the costs of which seem to be about to be partly defrayed by that country's Euro Group partners non-consulted members.

My Great Aunt, Margery Perham, was something of an Africa expert and in 1932 debated the contrast between French direct Colonial Rule with Britain's indirect methods with the then Governor of Chad, Jules Marcel de Coppet, who explained it partly in my Aunt's paraphrase - to the lingering dislike of local government in modern France,'a hangover from strong feudal power and an obstacle to centralization'. In addition, the French experience in Africa had been, from the start, more about military and imperial control than anything else, objectives backed up by the dominant French colonial paradigm to the north, represented by Algeria. (Into Africa, C.Brad Faught, Publisher I.B.Taurusp.80)  

Such is the situation (perhaps I should say potential quagmire) into which the EU, or at least the Euro Group has put itself this morning, complicated even further by the coming into force of the Fiscal Compact a mere eleven days ago.

I will, of course, be returning to these complex issues quite often as the date of PM Cameron's landmark speech on Britain and the EU has now been fixed at 22nd January in the Netherlands, a clear signal that Deputy Prime Minister, Nick Clegg's influence is clearly already heavily at work. The worldly maritime view from Holland and Spain will be now badly needed, rather than the dreadful EU embedded corporatism so far evident in all Clegg's actions.  The very unworldly and frankly almost naive David Cameron is going to struggle to rise to this occasion, especially with Clegg in his team and the likes of Michael Heseltine already loudly interfering from the wings, read here! 

                                                                                        

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Friday, July 06, 2012

Finland, the ESM and the future of Europe

Finland is crucial to the Euro Zone group of countries as its collateral demands under the EFSF and ESM arrangements (soon to be the sole structures between EMU and its certain death) make it the only nation among the seventeen members of the common euro currency whose sovereign triple A credit rating still appears reasonably secure. Having at least one member contributing state, however small, still rated AAA, could be of profound significance to the borrowing activities of the ESM. Germany unless the ESM ratification can be successfully constitutionally challenged will soon have its credit rating at risk among the  worsening EU crash and worldwide recession so caused, Austria and Luxembourg cannot then be long behind.

Yet it is ironic beyond belief, that this very demand for Finnish collateral, results from that one country's obvious assessment that the project is certain to fail. A report from Bloomberg's Businessweek is linked here, it fails to report the earlier threat that Finland, if pushed could recall its parliament in August to halt the gaderene rush to pan-Eurozone national suicide.

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Sunday, June 10, 2012

Finn's Two Main Opposition Parties reject Spanish Bank Rescue

The crucial report, that has taken just under 24 hours since the first details of the deep deception that is the Spanish Bail Out started to appear, is linked from here.

Opposition chairs: No Finnish support for Spain

The leaders of both opposition parties in the Finnish Parliament have strongly rejected any participation in a Spanish bank bailout.

Hardly surprising this news, is it? After all any Triple A rated Euro Zone country lending to Spain's banks under these reported conditions could hardly expect to retain their own triple A rating for long, let alone their Government posts if still a surviving democracy! More background from Open Europe here.

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Sunday, January 22, 2012

Only 42% of Croatia's voters turn out to say yes to the EU by a two third majority

In Finland the next President appears almost certain to be a pro-EU Conservative. Timo Soini gaining just under 10% in early results.

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Croatia and Finland, two tests for the EU today!

We must hope that South Carolina was not an isolated victory against big money sleaze politics, for today, Finland, read here, and Croatia, link here, both have the chance to record utter disgust at the recent activities of those who hold all the power in the non-democratic EU.

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Thursday, December 08, 2011

Proposed ESM changes rules unconstitutional for AAA Finland!

The report is linked from here.

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Wednesday, October 05, 2011

Reuters misses the point on Finland's Collateral debacle!

Finland's Parliament has been screwed and betrayed by its ruling coalition government. The price will eventually be paid at the polls or perhaps even earlier by a downfall of the government. The battle between democracy and the secretive, EU behind closed doors conspiracies, is slowly moving into the open - this is another small step towards bringing reality to Europe's citizens.

The Reuters report on how the Finns have been thwarted by the combined forces of their supposed partners within the euro zone, is linked from here.

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Tuesday, October 04, 2011

Finland's collateral deal/bond swap complex enough to befuddle the Finns?

Reading the explanation on the revisions to Finland's changed collateral deal from this report on FT Alphaville, one can only agree with one comment to the article, it seems purely designed to con the Finns into thinking they have gained something of value.

I await Timo Soini's views with interest and will post them on this blog when I can!

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Monday, September 05, 2011

Bank shares slide across Europe

The ECB spent €13 billion on bond purchases last week. Italian and Spanish Credit Default Swaps on their sovereign debt are both up by over 6% today see here.

Confusion amongst Europe's politicians seems to be reaching new peaks even beyond those reflected in the Gold Price. As I type, gold is at $1898.98 per ounce.

The latest view from Germany on the Greek fiasco may be read in Der Spiegel from here. I particularly enjoyed the fact that the body to handle the privatisations has so far only two employees!

Herman Von Rompuy's remarks following his trip to Helsinki and meeting with the Finnish PM is here. Those not wishing to plough through the pdf can get this summary as follows:

Good progress is being made and I'm confident we will find an agreement soon.

Lifejackets anybody?

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Wednesday, August 31, 2011

Finnish Minister defends Collateral Demand

EU Observer talked to the Minister, their full report is linked from here; the following being the main substance to my mind:

Speaking to EUobserver by phone on Wednesday (31 August), EU affairs and trade minister Alexander Stubb said the wealthy northern country's demand for Greece to give guarantees for Finland's part in the second Greek bailout is not down to fear of losing money.
"It isn't a question of the money. It's a question of principle. It reflects a sentiment that we have that you should not be rewarded for lax public finances. That's the whole point of being in the euro ... people have to be responsible about their public finances," he said.

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Will Collateral Damage Destroy the Euro? Become Anti-EU!

The head of the EFSF, see the link from my post of yesterday to guage this man's sanity, has just now suggested that Euro Group former nation's wishing to obtain collateral for further loans to penniless Greece, may wish to accept Greek bank shares as collateral. Given a choice between that and Scotch mist, I imagine the latter would be preferred as it would involve no negotiation or administrative costs!

As I posted last thing yesterday evening, the collateral question has now gone far beyond being amusing or ironic for the Finns. It strikes to the very heart of our most basic individual rights being replaced by tyranny. This same contempt for ordinary people, is evident all across Europe and amply demonstrates the utter contempt for democracy and parliamentary authority, towards which most people believe the EU should pay more than lip service and offer far more than complete contempt.

On various blogs in the UK over the past few days, such as Autonomous Mind, there has been a debate over re-defining Euroscepticism, requiring a new term, clearly avoiding any suggestion of the appeasement of the new pan-European enemy - the EU.

I have suggested the term "Anti-EU" which is straightforward, transcends all Schengen borders (being from the Greek it will everywhere be immediately understood) and gives no truck to the appeasers, such as those suggestions often found on the blogs of politicians who have become involved in this discussion, such as Conservative Home, Roger Helmer MEP and John Redwood's Diary blog of the MP of that name, all often first class and full of sound common sense, but nevertheless underneath insidiously promoting the new tyranny

To describe oneself as eurosceptic allows for sloppy thinking, even running to outright promotion of the interests of the institution about which you are presumed to carry doubts. Anti-EU requires a mindset that has already determined there are no good outcomes available from the EU.

Some have suggested a positive phrase is needed rejecting the strong negativity of anything beginning "anti-". But would the Allies have won the war as Nazisceptics? We must unite across the EU, to overturn what the EU has become and remove those responsible for creating it in its present tyrannical and non-democratic form. Anti-EU for me carries the essence of this blog!

How many have really seen the EU for what it has already become - pure evil? Few I wager, therefore anti-EU may yet be still ahead of its time!  Watch the events in Finland if you are yet to be convinced - the time for strong, determined and outright opposition to the EU is very near! Eurosceptics are welcome if they take up the anti-EU cause!

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Monday, August 29, 2011

Finns under pressure from EU elites

I am somewhat worried if a feeling were to develop among an elite, as it were, that we don’t have to listen to the opinion of the people.” Jutta Urpilainen, Finland's Finance Minister, warned that such an attitude could turn the economic crisis into a political crisis.

The full report showing the pressure being mounted by the pampered elites of the EU, who due to their own self-serving incompetence has created the euro crisis, comes strongly through in every word of this recent report from Helsinki, read it here, the title being:

Euro countries angered at Finland for secrecy over Greek collateral pact

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Thursday, August 25, 2011

Finland challenges other Euro Group members to offer alternative Collateral Deal!

Calling Schäuble's bluff the Finnish Finance Minister has today e-mailed her Euro Zone counterparts suggesting they offer a suitable alternative to the deal already negotiated by the Finns with the Greeks.

The San Francisco Chronicle has the report linked here, with the crucial portion as follows:

"If the Finnish and Greek deal isn't acceptable to others, it's now up to all euro members to build a model together that everyone finds acceptable," Finance Minister Jutta Urpilainen, 36, said in an e-mailed statement today. "European Union founding treaties stipulate each country is liable for its own debts and commitments. Finland will hold onto this now and in the future."

The final paragraph of the report indicates the existing deal may trigger a default event on €18 billions worth of Greek bonds already sold which stipulate equal treatment for all investors those so far sucked in to this growing mess!

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The nightmare world of Sovereign Debtors!

The IMF reportedly objects to the Finnish Collateral deal with Greece on the grounds that it might jeopardize their place at the head of the line for repayments by Sovereign Countries. All this goes back to the 1800s strangely enough also involving Greece. A working paper on the so-called PARI PASSU Clause in Sovereign Debt Instruments, is linked here, it is in pdf format, long and heavy reading, but marvellously illustrative of the minefield, through which the bunch of incompetents now running the Euro Group are trying to navigate, incredibly aided by former Olympic Synchronised French Swim Team member, Mme Christine Lagarde at the IMF! 

I. THE CLAUSE
A. The Text
Here is a typical formulation of the pari passu clause in a modern cross-border credit instrument:
The Notes rank, and will rank, pari passu in right of payment with all other present and future unsecured and unsubordinated External Indebtedness of the Issuer.
The Latin phrase “pari passu” means “in equal step” or just “equally.” The phrase pari passu was often used in equity jurisprudence to express the ratable interest of parties in the disposition of equitable assets.1 As explained by an English commentator in 1900:
There is no special virtue in the words “pari passu,” “equally” would have the same effect, or any other words showing that the [debt instruments] were intended to stand on the same level footing without preference or priority among themselves, but the words pari passu are adopted as a general term well recognized in the administration of assets in courts of equity.”2

Hat tip FT Alphaville blog, linked here.

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Thursday, May 12, 2011

True Finns drop from Coalition Talks

The True Finns will oppose the new governing coalition in Finland, as the two main  parties edge towards concessions on the Portuguese bail out. The report in English is linked here.

Given the anti-bailout sentiment reflected in the recent Finnish elections, this deliberate thwarting of the Finnish voters clear opposition to further bail outs, gives an indication of the extreme pressures presently being applied by the Euro Group establishment. As Open Europe quotes in its midday press briefing e-mail of today, linked here:

The costs of the debt crisis are being entirely shifted to taxpayers…this strategy risks ending up with the greatest of all systemic risks: the revolt of citizens against the European Monetary Union."

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Wednesday, May 11, 2011

Finns defer vote on Portugal to Friday

The True Finns will all vote against the Potugal Bail Out.

Other Finnish Parties must risk the wrath of the EU or their voters. A report on the deferment of the decision in their Parliament is here.

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Saturday, May 07, 2011

Typical Democracy By-Pass, EU Skullduggery hits hitch in Finland.

Here's a ruse, following the election of the True Finns blocking majority for the Portuguese Bail Out in the new parliament, EPP Vice-President and PM elect decided a simple means to get it through would be to halt negotiations on a new coalition government and get the former parliament to approve more billions to save the doomed Euro, thus huffing democracy!

The problem seems to be that the outgoing governing party (possibly considering they may need votes in the future once again perhaps?,) is not playing ball.

Read the Reuters report from here.

The secret meeting in Luxembourg, on which I posted earlier today, with Juncker stating (having earlier been reported as not in attendance) that Greece will not default.

Well that's alright then..... and Portugal will get its money of course, Finnish voters having been effectively told to go to hell. Will Trichet now stay on at the ECB perhaps?

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Secret Euro Crisis Gathering in Luxembourg Today

EUObserver has uncovered details of the crisis get together of key euro players in a report which is linked from here. A quote:

The European Commission and the finance ministers of Germany, France, the Netherlands are in the Grand Duchy for a private chat about the "outstanding eurozone creditor issues with regard to the continuing problems in Greece," a source familiar with the discussions told EUobserver.Jean-Claude Juncker, the prime minister of Luxembourg of the eurogroup, the 17 countries that employ the single currency, is also there "despite the denials of his ministry," the source continued.

Finland may also attend, but not Greece. The idea is to have a "smaller group" consider these matters privately, without the full eurogroup needing to attend.

In addition, the discussion extends to the sizeable presence of MPs in the new Finnish parliament who are reluctant to bail out Portugal and what is to be done. The question of who is to be the next president of the European Central Bank is on the brief agenda as well.

The report last evening in Der Spiegel, referred to in the above article, claiming that Greec may be about to pull out of the Euro currency is linked from here.

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Tuesday, April 19, 2011

Realities of True Finns astounding advance begin to sink in.

As I quoted around this time yesterday morning, "human beings have an infinite capacity for self-delusion", but yesterday's collective burying of heads in the sands was truly remarkable as EU federalists strove to pretend all was well and that the Portuguese bail out would continue as originally planned.

A bit similar to the fact that it took almost two weeks for the EU mainstream media to pick up on this blog's pointing out that the Finnish parliamentary approval for further bailouts was a looming executioner for the deranged plans of the EU's self-serving political leadership that is bringing untold misery to hundreds of millions of Europeans.

Articles bringing home the facts are from Mary Ellen Sinon in the Daily Mail, linked here and EurActiv from here.

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Monday, April 18, 2011

Final Result in Finland

It is too close to call on the policies of the resultant Government, read here, with the True Finns slipping back into third place, since my last post yesterday evening, but only by the slimmest margin as may be seen in this chart:

Final Results:

National Coalition Party: 20.4%
Social Democratic Party: 19.1%
True Finns: 19.0%
Centre Party: 15.8%
Left Alliance: 8.1%
Green League: 7.2%
Swedish People’s Party: 4.3%
Christian Democrats: 4.0%
Pirate Party: 0.4%
Others: 1.6%

The Portugal Bail Out (Normal EU skullduggery aside) must surely be sunk, with the Social Democrats and True Finns opposing any cash or debt transfers holding a combined 38.1% and huge support in the country, with the first and fourth bigger parties having 36.2%.

Any smaller party  supporting more Bail Outs and making them possible will surely be committing eventual electoral suicide, whatever incentives may be offered from Brussels!


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