French elections latest polling

Critical to the future of the EU are the coming elections in France. Latest news is that the two main contenders are equal at 50/50 for the second round but that 'extreme centrist' François Bayrou is still gaining at 17%, up 3 points from the preceding LH2 poll, and that Jean-Marie Le Pen is steady with 13%. Sarkozy has 30% in the first round against 27% for Royal. The two main party candidates as far as I can determine will both sign up to Merkel's June 2007 memorandum of understanding which would effectively bind the EU to the terms of the failed Constitutional Treaty. Perhaps the French electorate are suspecting that their clear rejection of that document is about to be undermined!